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SUSDIET: SUSFOOD ERA-NET on sustainable diets, project 2 (of 2) - FO0318

Description
This is one part of the SUSDIET consortium, an interdisciplinary research team involving 15 research institutions across 9 European countries, which successfully applied to the European Commission’s ERANET-SUSFOOD research call to conduct the SUSDIET project. The goal of this project is to identify sustainable dietary scenarios for Europe and a mix of policy instruments aimed at promoting their adoption by the EU population. The project will involve a mixture of research methods aimed at a) identifying dietary patterns that optimize environmental and nutritional parameters whilst remaining affordable and similar to current diets; b) quantifying the impact of these dietary scenarios on greenhouse gas emissions and health outcomes; c) understanding consumer food preferences and trade-offs involved in food purchase decisions; d) analyzing policy options aimed at promoting the sustainable dietary scenarios.

The aim of this project is to focus on objective b. above. This will involve a review of the literature on sustainable, healthy diets and build multi-state life table models for the UK, Finland, France, Italy, Spain and Sweden. The outcomes will be integral to the SUSDIET project, allowing for both an assessment of the acceptability of sustainable dietary scenarios developed by the SUSDIET consortium, and contributing to the assessment of policy options to promote sustainable dietary scenarios. A stated priority of DEFRA is for evidence involving “modelling future scenarios for UK and EU agricultural markets” (DEFRA evidence investment strategy, 2014). This project will provide estimates of the impact of potential food futures on greenhouse gas emissions, nutritional quality and disease outcomes, all of which will provide a structure for future comprehensive agricultural economic modelling exercises.
Objective
Objective 1. To review the peer-reviewed literature on the associations between sustainability of food systems and healthiness of the diet, focussing on articles that consider differences in types of foods that are produced or consumed.

Objective 2. To project disease specific incidence and mortality rates to 2050 using appropriate datasets for the UK, Finland, France, Italy, Spain and Sweden.

Objective 3. To build six multi-state life table models for the UK, Finland, France, Italy, Spain and Sweden which can be used to estimate the health impact of sustainable dietary scenarios (developed by other members of the SUSDIET consortium).

Objective 4. To estimate the parametric and structural uncertainty around estimates produced by these multi-state life table models by use of Monte Carlo analyses and sensitivity analyses.

Objective 5. To deliver a final report incorporating the review of the knowledge base of the sustainability and healthiness of food systems, and the modelling of health impacts of sustainable diet scenarios.
Time-Scale and Cost
From: 2014

To: 2016

Cost: £101,894
Contractor / Funded Organisations
University of Oxford
Keywords
Food              
Fields of Study
Resource Efficient and Resilient Food Chain