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A Research and Innovation Network Supporting Adaptation in Agriculture to Climate Change - AC0302

Current climate models predict that global temperatures could increase from between 1.4 to 5.8oC over the next 100 years. For the UK, climate change means higher temperatures, wetter winters and drier summers, less snow and increased risk of flooding. UK crop production and the natural environment are vulnerable to changes that will occur through climate change over a relatively short time scale. These changes will provide both constraints and opportunities.
Temperature rises in the UK are likely to result in a gradual realignment of zones suitable for production of specific crops. Evidence suggests that there will be a shift of between 200 and 300 kilometres northwards for every one degree increase in temperature. As an example, this would result in the south of England having a similar climate to the Loire Valley in France, by 2060.
UK crops and natural environments are likely to change. Novel or unusual species and varieties in the UK such as sweetcorn, sunflowers, soya and maize for cereals, could provide opportunities for UK agriculture.
However, farming and environmental management practices will need to adapt to meet these changes. It is predictable that new pest and disease pressures (both positive and negative) will be experienced for existing and novel crops and for native plant species. Climate change will affect maturity and harvest dates and have significant impacts on water requirements.
The ability of agriculture to adapt to and cope with climate change depends on factors including arable-land and water resources, farming technology , crop varieties adapted to local conditions, access to knowledge, infrastructure, and appropriate knowledge transfer mechanisms.
The purpose of this project will be to identify relevant information from regions experiencing micro climates relevant to UK climate change; to develop partnerships with organisations within the UK and elsewhere to collate data; and to establish a mechanism for underpinning innovation in agriculture furthering adaptation to climate change.
The project will be led by a multidisciplinary group based at the University of Warwick but will involve a wide range of stakeholders.

A great deal of research has already been commissioned on climate change impacts and adaptation (Defra’s CC03 Programme). This project will build on that information and make use of players involved in that research. To reach consensus on the priorities and the best examples to pursue for adoption and adaptation, a critical stage involving the Delphi technique will be employed.

Milestone 1. End of September 2006 Establish the expert panel for Dephi

Milestone 2. November 2006 Complete round 1 of Delphi

Milestone 3. January 2006 Complete round 2 of Delphi

Milestone 4. March 2007 Complete round 3 of Delphi

Milestone 5. April 2007 Complete report of stage 1 and discuss outcome with Defra Project Officer

Milestone 6. May7 2007 Create milestones for stage 2

Project Documents
• Final Report : A research and Innovation Network supporting adaptation in agriculture to climate change   (5024k)
• Final Report - Annex : AC0302 Annex O Sunflower - A Growers Guide   (3912k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex A Organisations that contributed to the Delphi process who gave permission to be cited.   (16k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex B The Delphi Process.   (311k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex D Stage 1.3 Knowledge transfer (including project publicity)   (38k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex E Adapting to changing water availability: Demonstrating technology and innovation in agricultural water management .Technical Report   (3742k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex F Switching irrigation technologies   (1377k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex G Managing Water Better   (2818k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex H Thinking about an irrigation reservoir?   (2175k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex I New climate, new crops?   (598k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex J New climate, new crops? Media release.   (45k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex K Sunflower growth stages   (493k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex L A summary of UK sunflower production   (441k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex M Sunflowers - Frequently Asked Questions   (358k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex N Sunflowers and Climate Change   (1641k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex P A short guide to ground source cooling   (393k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex Q HDC Energy News   (2223k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex R Farming Futures grain cooling case study   (605k)
• Final Report - Annex : Annex S Grain Storage - Is climate change impacting on grain cooling?   (143k)
• Final Report - Annex : Stage 1.2 Review of climate change adaptation activities in selected EU Countries (Annex C)   (675k)
Time-Scale and Cost
From: 2006

To: 2009

Cost: £327,360
Contractor / Funded Organisations
Warwick - HRI
Agriculture and Climate Change              
Allocated - WHRI              
Climate and Weather              
Climate Change              
Environmental Protection              
Sustainable Farming and Food              
Sustainable Production              
Fields of Study
Agriculture and Climate Change