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Effusive Volcanic Eruption Modelling - CB0502

Description
A current hazard to the UK from a gas and aerosol cloud from a large effusive eruption on Iceland has been identified from initial modelling work produced by the University of Leeds and Met Office. This correlates with the inclusion of a risk on an effusive volcanic eruption in the National Risk Register. Improving our understanding of potential impacts to the UK from an effusive gas-rich eruption on Iceland requires a more thorough modelling study.

The work proposed will provide better information on the range of concentrations of gases and aerosols that might be experienced and the likelihood of key thresholds being exceeded and over what durations. The outputs from this study can be used in further area-specific impact assessments for sectors including: health, aviation and environment. The outputs will also inform the evidence base for the National Risk Register.
Objective
A current hazard to the UK from a gas and aerosol cloud from a large effusive eruption on Iceland has been identified from initial modelling work produced by the University of Leeds and Met Office. This correlates with the inclusion of a risk on an effusive volcanic eruption in the National Risk Register. Improving our understanding of potential impacts to the UK from an effusive gas-rich eruption on Iceland requires a more thorough modelling study.

The work proposed will provide better information on the range of concentrations of gases and aerosols that might be experienced and the likelihood of key thresholds being exceeded and over what durations. The outputs from this study can be used in further area-specific impact assessments for sectors including: health, aviation and environment. The outputs will also inform the evidence base for the National Risk Register.
Time-Scale and Cost
From: 2013

To: 2014

Cost: £30,000
Contractor / Funded Organisations
Cabinet Office
Keywords
Public Health