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Further statistical analysis of the Randomised Badger Culling Trial - SE3279

Continued analysis of the RBCT with examination of the effect on unconfirmed breakdowns and on the effects of reactive and proactive culling as carried out in project SE3242.
Analysis of TB incidence among herds in and around RBCT trial areas
Analyses will take place on the data available as of September 2011 and as of March 2012. The September 2011 analysis will involve post-trial analyses of confirmed herd breakdowns only (as has featured in recent reports) and separately analyses of total (confirmed plus unconfirmed) herd breakdowns. If there is no evidence of a post-trial effect in the unconfirmed herd breakdowns, then the March 2012 analysis will focus exclusively on confirmed herd breakdowns only.

Case-control studies to investigate effects of reactive and proactive badger culling
Further analysis will be undertaken of the case-control study of herds within reactive RBCT areas published by Vial and Donnelly (2011). These analyses will look at multiple distances simultaneously to explore the robustness of associations of TB risk with badgers cull more than 1 km and more than 3 km away from the herd.
Project Documents
• FRP - Final Report : Post ISG - October 2013 Confidential Report to Defra   (192k)
Time-Scale and Cost
From: 2011

To: 2013

Cost: £30,000
Contractor / Funded Organisations
Imperial College Consultants Ltd (IC Consultants Ltd)
Fields of Study
Animal Health