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A New Agenda for Biosecurity - SD0301

Biosecurity risks for Britain are diverse and changing. This scoping study will draw upon existing information and previous studies and by a process of conceptual modelling and scenario building, identify and evaluate major areas of risk and examine possible trends in their patterns of introduction, management and impact. The objective is to generate an improved evidence base for future policy making and risk assessment scenarios over several decades. The analysis will be interdisciplinary, employing methods from the ecological, economic and social sciences, and will pay particular attention to cross-cutting issue and gaps in consideration of biosecurity risks across different sectors. On the basis of these, opportunities to improve and better focus present investment, so as to maximize benefits relative to inputs, will be identified.
1) To generate a broad understanding of the nature, diversity, rate and pathways for the introduction of key biological threats, based on local and global patterns of trade, travel, transport, tourism and production systems and their likely future change.
2) To develop an approach to predicting the general impact of new biosecurity threats on the basis of their biological and ecological properties.
3) To develop an approach to predicting the economic impact of biosecurity threats, on the basis of their direct and indirect economic effects.
4) On the basis of 1-3 above, to broadly assess the nature and magnitude of different kinds of biological risks to the UK economy over the next 30 years, and to evaluate, using a scenario-based approach, the effect of UK, European and global trends on this.
5) Using 4 above, and information on existing biosecurity measures, to examine current and proposed measures to prevent and manage biosecurity risks. From this, areas of good and poor security cover, relative to possible trends, will be identified.
6) To propose approaches to reducing the greatest future risks and to identify technology or policy which this may require.
Project Documents
• Final Report : A New Agenda for Biosecurity   (2801k)
Time-Scale and Cost
From: 2003

To: 2004

Cost: £118,031
Contractor / Funded Organisations
University - Wye College, Imperial College London
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