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Theme:Flood Forecasting and WarningProject Status: Completed
Project No: FD2208 Proposal ID:  N/A
Project Title: Extreme Event Recognition Phase II
Description: PROJECT CLOSING STATEMENT:
The study has provided an opportunity to explore research areas that could produce improved flood warning lead times, investigating viable hypotheses and current gaps in research. Although not all the approaches looked at in this work resulted in a significant advance in the forecasting of extreme events, the findings have given direction to those areas where further research is most likely to succeed and those that will not.

The reports are particularly applicable to researchers and other interested parties, they inform them on how this project has progressed the body of scientific knowledge on extreme rainfall events.

SUMMARY OBJECTIVE:
Routine analysis of new extreme events to test their fit with the proposed conceptual model identified in Phase I. (Year 1). Development of a prototype 24 hour extreme event warning system for use with the Met Office NWP outputs, testing the viability of the extreme flood potential scoring system in practice to identify potential applications and development of flood forecasting model calibration techniques that can utilise the extreme event rainfall profiles for `destruction testing` of catchment models. (Years 2 & 3)

KEY CUSTOMER PURPOSE:
Phase I of this project identified some key criteria involved in causing extreme rainfall and hence the potential for severe flooding. Further work is required to develop the findings into mainstream forecasting systems to improve our capability to predict extreme rainfall and give advance warning of potential severe flood events
Start Date: 01/01/2004
End Date:31/03/2006
Project Cost: £257,293
Contractor: Meteorological Office, United Kingdom
Keywords: Environmental Protection , Flood and Coastal Defence , Flood Defence , Forecasting , Land
 

Documents

Type: Final Report
Title: Extreme Event Recognition Phase 2
Desc:
Publication Date: 14/01/2008  
DocumentRef: FD2208_6870_FRP.pdf Download   (154k)
Type: Project Record
Title: Work Package 2 Project Report-Development & Evaluation of an extreme rainfall event forecasting system
Desc:
Publication Date: 05/11/2007  
DocumentRef: FD2208_6365_PR.pdf Download   (7014k)
Type: Project Record
Title: Project report - Evaluation of a vorticity indicator for extreme events
Desc:
Publication Date: 05/11/2007  
DocumentRef: FD2208_6368_PR.pdf Download   (2509k)
Type: Project Record
Title: Work Package 1 Project Report - Report on analysis of less-extreme events and recent extreme events
Desc:
Publication Date: 05/11/2007  
DocumentRef: FD2208_6370_PR.pdf Download   (861k)
Type: Project Record
Title: Work Package 5 Project Report - EA requirement for decision-support scheme.pdf
Desc:
Publication Date: 05/11/2007  
DocumentRef: FD2208_6372_PR.pdf Download   (765k)
Type: Project Record
Title: Work Package 4 Project Report - Spatio-temporal rainfall datasets
Desc:
Publication Date: 05/11/2007  
DocumentRef: FD2208_6373_PR.pdf Download   (12720k)
Type: Project Record
Title: Work Package 4 Project Report - The Extremes Dataset
Desc:
Publication Date: 05/11/2007  
DocumentRef: FD2208_6374_PR.pdf Download   (3041k)
Type: Technical Report
Title: Extreme Event Recognition Phase 2
Desc: Technical report
Publication Date: 13/09/2007  
DocumentRef: FD2208_6110_TRP.pdf Download   (2401k)
Type: Technical Summary
Title: Extreme Event Recognition Phase 2
Desc:
Publication Date: 14/11/2007  
DocumentRef: FD2208_6433_TSM.pdf Download   (53k)